{"id":24366,"date":"2021-06-14T10:11:41","date_gmt":"2021-06-14T10:11:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/cio.edu.umh.es\/?p=17676"},"modified":"2021-07-22T09:49:49","modified_gmt":"2021-07-22T07:49:49","slug":"estimating-a-stochastic-epidemic-frontier-model-that-controls-for-undocumented-covid-19-cases-with-an-application-to-spain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/2021\/06\/14\/estimating-a-stochastic-epidemic-frontier-model-that-controls-for-undocumented-covid-19-cases-with-an-application-to-spain\/","title":{"rendered":"Estimating a stochastic epidemic frontier model that controls for undocumented COVID-19 cases with an application to Spain"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"24366\" class=\"elementor elementor-24366\" data-elementor-settings=\"[]\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-section-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-27a6bbde elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"27a6bbde\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-row\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-2e084e54\" data-id=\"2e084e54\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-72cda034 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"72cda034\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><b>T\u00edtulo:\u00a0<\/b>Estimating a stochastic epidemic frontier model that controls for undocumented COVID-19 cases with an application to Spain<\/p><p><b>Ponente:\u00a0<\/b>Luis Orea\u00a0<span class=\"gmail_default\">(Universidad de Oviedo)<\/span><\/p><p><b>Organizador:<\/b>\u00a0Juan Aparicio<\/p><p><strong><span lang=\"EN-US\">Date:<\/span><\/strong><span lang=\"EN-US\">\u00a0Martes\u00a022 de junio\u00a0<span lang=\"EN-US\"><span lang=\"EN-US\">de 2021 a las<\/span>\u00a012:00\u00a0<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">horas.<\/span><\/span><\/p><p><strong>Lugar:<\/strong>\u00a0\u00a0Online.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9cadd71 elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"9cadd71\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/jl-clpKcwng\" class=\"elementor-button-link elementor-button elementor-size-sm\" role=\"button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">PINCHA AQU\u00cd PARA VER EL SEMINARIO<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5a195f1 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5a195f1\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-text-editor elementor-clearfix\">\n\t\t\t\t<p><span style=\"font-weight: bold\">Abstract:\u00a0<\/span>We use a stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) approach to model the propagation of the COVID-19 epidemic across geographical areas. The proposed models permit reported and undocumented cases to be estimated, which is important as case counts are overwhelmingly believed to be undercounted. The models can be estimated using only epidemic-type data but are flexible enough to permit these reporting rates to vary across geographical cross-section units of observation. We provide an empirical application of our models to Spanish data corresponding to the initial months of the original outbreak of the virus in early 2019. We find remarkable rates of under-reporting that might explain why the Spanish Government took its time to implement strict mitigation strategies. We also provide insights into the effectiveness of the national and regional lockdown measures and the influence of socio-economic factors in the propagation of the virus.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00edtulo:\u00a0Estimating a stochastic epidemic frontier model that controls for undocumented COVID-19 cases with an application to Spain<br \/>\nPonente:\u00a0Luis Orea\u00a0(Universidad de Oviedo)<br \/>\nOrganizador:\u00a0Juan Aparicio<br \/>\nFecha:\u00a0Martes\u00a022 de junio\u00a0de 2021 a las\u00a012:00\u00a0horas.<br \/>\nLugar:\u00a0\u00a0Online.<\/p>\n<p>\t\t\t\t\t\tPINCHA AQU\u00cd PARA VER EL SEMINARIO<\/p>\n<p>Abstract:\u00a0We use a stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) approach to model the propagation of the COVID-19 epidemic across geographical areas. The proposed models permit reported and [&#8230;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5675,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[4,873],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24366"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5675"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24366"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24366\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24366"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24366"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cio.umh.es\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24366"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}